Brian Byrnes had
this take on Argentina’s gay marriage law for CNN:
Brian Byrnes had
this take on Argentina’s gay marriage law for CNN:
As President Cristina Kirchner’s power ebbs and Argentina nears next year’s presidential election, talking heads will increasingly look at the prospects of her would-be successors, including Buenos Aires Mayor Mauricio Macri.
As mayor of Argentina’s most important city since 2007, Macri has the kind of “executive experience” that many voters say they want in a president candidate. He hopes to capture the votes of millions of Argentines who oppose Kirchner and her policies.
Of the potential presidential contenders for the 2015 race, Macri is arguably the one who has most opposed Kirchner’s approach to power. The two leaders are not even on speaking terms, though that is almost entirely because of Kirchner’s militant antagonism toward political critics, something acknowledged by officials who work for both leaders.
Two other leading potential contenders, or “presidenciables” as they’re called locally, are Buenos Aires Governor Daniel Scioli and Tigre Mayor Sergio Massa. Though both have distanced themselves from Kirchner to varying degrees (Massa much more so), both have also been partners and close allies of the president over the years.
If you’re interested Argentine politics and economics, I’d highly suggest watching the Odisea Argentina.
I was on the show recently talking about Argentina’s election and other things. My segment starts at 36:50″.
Spotify, the music streaming service, comes to Argentina today.
The service allows people to listen to music on of offline, depending on what kind of plan you get.
You can stream Spotify for free or pay 36 Argentine pesos a month to listen to it on any device at any time, even offline.
Spotify’s launch recalls Netflix’s messy entry into the Argentine market in 2011. Netflix, the video streaming service, launched with a limited movie and TV series catalog, disappointing many potential customers. The company initially charged 39 pesos a month for its service, but then switched over to US dollars, charging US $7.99.
At first, Netflix lacked a great deal of the content if offered in the US, leading to a lot of bad PR for the company. As time passed, the service improved and its local Latin American catalog grew, winning over many skeptical customers, especially parents who wanted their kids to access children’s programming and see content in different languages.
It’s unclear how Spotify’s music catalog in Argentina will compare with its offerings in the US and elsewhere. Let us know if you try it out!
This video was made by Braniff International Airways in the 1950s. It’s provides a fabulously interesting look at Buenos Aires in its heyday. It’s hard to imagine the city, or the country, getting this kind of positive publicity today.
President Cristina Kirchner gave a defiant speech Wednesday in which she blasted the media, banks, politicians and just about everyone else who has ever criticized her government.
The president downplayed her party’s thumping in Sunday’s primary election and claimed that the media lied and tried to cover up the party’s victory in places like Antarctica, where she got about 55% of the vote. Indeed, Mrs. Kirchner began her speech by saying the media had “covered up” her party’s victory in Antarctica.
In reality, only around 86 people, or 0.000002% of Argentina’s population, cast valid ballots in Antarctica, meaning the election results there were next to meaningless in terms of their relevance to the overall election.
The speech was full of colorful quotes. Here are the most interesting ones:
“I’m not a benchwarmer for anybody. I’m the president of 40 million Argentines.” – Here the presidents was saying that opposition party candidates, who actually did very well in the election, were not worthy of being on the stage with her. She referred to them as “backup” or “second string” players. She said they were not valuable in and of themselves, but rather were merely means to an end sought by special interest groups such as banks. The truly important “first string” players are these special interests. Mrs. Kirchner said she would sit at the table and negotiate with these players but not with the benchwarmers. It was entirely unclear what this might mean, if anything, in practical terms.
“In economics, when you give something to someone, it’s because you’re taking it away from someone else.” – Here Mrs. Kirchner was saying, essentially, that the economy is a zero-sum game, in which there are winners and losers. There are no win-win situations in economics, according to this view.
“I don’t think there are good intentions there. I’d be a liar if I said there were.” – Here the president was referring to those who disagree with some of her policies. This is a fairly common view expressed by the president and members of her cabinet. Those who disagree with her are traitors, not patriots who simply have different viewpoints.
“Above all, I’m a political militant who feels the obligation to tell people the truth.” – Mrs. Kirchner has been increasingly referring to her own honesty in recent speeches. This comes as more people appear to be questioning the president’s vision of reality.
“When Wall Street becomes happy, muchachos, we should be worried. Whenever they’ve been happy, things have gone very badly for us.” – Here Mrs. Kirchner recalls the government’s view that markets should not be listened to or respected. Instead, markets should be managed and tamed so that they don’t lead the country into economic ruin. Paying too much attention to the demands of the market, the president has often said, leads to financial, economic and political trouble.
He was Born in the USA, but he’ll be playing in Buenos Aires next month.
Legendary U.S. rocker Bruce Springsteen will bring his “Wrecking Ball” tour to the G.E.B.A on September 14.
Tickets go on sale Friday. You can get them here.
Torcuarto Di Tella University’s latest crime “victimization rate” survey indicates that overall criminal activity in Argentina rose in April from the same month a year ago. The victimization rate refers to the percentage of households in which at least one person has been the victim of crime within the past year.
This could be any kind of crime, reported or not to the police. According to the survey, which polled 1,215 households, just over 37% of the homes had at least one household member who had been the victim of crime. That puts the crime rate up from about 34% the same month a year ago and around 33% two years ago.
Accordingly, crime has become more frequent over the past two years.
But there is a bit of a silver lining to the gloomy data. The percentage of households in which at least one person was the victim of violent crime was 22%, unchanged from the same month over the past two years. So while crime appears to be up, the frequency of violent crime is unchanged.
The safest place to be in Argentina, according to the survey, is in scarcely populated towns of less than 10,000 people. The victimization rates in these towns is about 24%. Cities with more than 500,000 residents appear to have the most crime per household, with a victimization rate of almost 38%.
In general, the safest place in Argentina is the City of Buenos Aires, where the household victimization rate is about 32%. It is followed by Greater Buenos Aires, where the rate is around 35% and the interior of the country where it is almost 41%.
Hundreds of thousands of people took to the streets in cities across Argentina last week to demonstrate rising concern over the country’s future. People protested plans to overhaul the judicial system by reducing the independence of courts. They also complained about corruption, crime, inflation, “being lied to” about inflation, and speculation that the president plans to change the constitution so she can remain in power perpetually.
This was the third massive anti-government protest of its kind since September, and it was a healthy reminder that some aspects of Argentina’s civic life are alive and well, even flourishing.
Protesters were peaceful, cheerful, friendly, upbeat, energetic and, by all appearances, happy. What follows are some thoughts about the protests and their possible impact.
In his 1993 inaugural address, U.S. President Bill Clinton said this about the United States: “There is nothing wrong with America that cannot be cured by what is right with America.” The peaceful, ebullient nature of last week’s protest reminded me of Clinton’s phrase. While the protesters focused largely on what is wrong with Argentina, their civil behavior was a healthy display of what is right with Argentina.
Those who took to the streets were, by and large, thoughtful, articulate, well-informed, polite and passionate. In many ways, they represent what is right with Argentina. Regardless of how you view certain government policies, the protesters I encountered were exemplars of ethical conduct. They offered thoughtful commentary on cultural, economic, judicial and political matters. If there were angry, aggressive protesters, I did not see them. By any measure, the protests seemed to be a constructive manifestation of democratic discontent. In this sense, they were a reminder of what is right about Argentina’s democracy – a reminder, in President Clinton’s parlance, that “there is nothing wrong with Argentina that cannot be cured by what is right with Argentina.”
As happened in the two previous protests, Argentina’s government largely ignored them. Initially, at least, President Cristina Kirchner said nothing of the protests while her cabinet members downplayed their significance. Planning Minister Julio De Vido later ridiculed the protesters, saying that the only people who took to the streets were people “who wanted to visit Miami.” To a large decree, De Vido’s comment was really a non sequitur. Simply put, it made no sense, literally.
I saw no protesters who expressed any concern for Miami. Nor did I see anyone carrying any banners or posters that mentioned Miami. De Vido’s comments may have been aimed at distracting attention from the protesters’ real complaints – corruption, crime, inflation, etc. Polls shows these are the issues that people are most worried about. De Vido was likely trying to make the protesters look like spoiled wealthy people who were complaining about the government’s crackdown on the sale of U.S. dollars. Many people have found it hard to buy dollars to travel abroad to places like, say, Miami. Whatever his point, it was mostly irrelevant to the protest.
The government’s effort to ignore the protests made me think the protesters are somewhat akin to people who are stuck in a bad marriage – a marriage in which their partner ignores them, not just part of the time, but most of the time.
Imagine being married to someone who never acknowledges the value of what you are saying. Imagine being married to someone who does not apologize or listen to you carefully. How would you feel if you were married to someone who wanted to dominate the conversation at all times and in all places?
At some point, sooner or later, you might want a divorce. The protesters wanted to be heard, to be acknowledged, to be respected. This, at least, is what many of them said in interviews. Many of them would like to hear the president say, “I’ve heard your voice. I understand your concerns. Thank you for sharing them in such a peaceful, civic matter. I’m sorry I haven’t been able to meet your needs. But now that I better understand your needs, I will work to meet them.”
Of course, the president didn’t say this. It isn’t her style. The president seems to consider questions and critiques to be unmitigated attacks on her presidency. In the past, she and her cabinet members have equated political dissent with treason. They have indicated that people who question the government’s policies are in reality seeking ways to overthrow the government. In everything, according to this worldview, there is a conspiracy.
When the protesters wanted the president to listen, she may have believed they were seeking a divorce. The marriage between Argentina’s president and many of her people is not a happy one. It is riddled with the kind of flaws that plague and can eventually ruin real life marriages – contempt, distrust, stubbornness, a failure to listen, difficulty in apologizing and a tendency to belittle instead of to forgive. To be sure, this is sometimes true of both parties.
If past behavior is any indication of future behavior, this is a marriage that is bound to fail. It will worsen with time, leading both sides to despise the other with growing contempt, distrust and either covert or overt hostility.
In last week’s demonstrations, protesters seemed to be saying to the president, “Listen, we’re headed in the wrong direction. We need to do some things differently so we can get back on the right track. Can you please acknowledge what we’re saying so we can work on it together? If so, we have a chance, but we need you to listen.”
The president did not listen, or at least she didn’t indicate that she had. What’s worse, in the protesters view, is that she ignored them entirely, pretending not only that didn’t take to the streets but that even if they had it would not make any difference to her. This kind of reaction seems likely to make matters worse. It seems destined to lead the protesters to seek a divorce, which is almost most certainly what they will do at the ballot box when they vote in next October’s mid-term elections.
With opinion polls indicating that only 29% of the population supports the president, her strategy toward the protests seems risky. Time will tell, as it does it does with most marriages.
Click here to read the article we wrote about the protest for The Wall Street Journal.
A year after Argentina commemorated the first anniversary of the tragic train crash that killed 51 people and injured 600 others, President Cristina Kirchner continues to dress in black.
Yet it is noteworthy that on this anniversary the president dressed in black not to mourn the country’s loss but rather to mourn her own.
The president’s husband and predecessor in power, Nestor Kirchner, died in October, 2010, and Mrs. Kirchner has donned dark attire ever since.
The train wreck, which occurred at the Once de Septiembre station in Buenos Aires, became for many a symbol of everything that is wrong with Argentina – corruption, greed, abuse of power, incompetence, injustice. Many people, especially critics of the government, accused the Kirchner administration of spending billions on a public transportation system that is, by all accounts, worse off now than it has been in years.
One of the things that bothered people about the tragedy was the fact that the president avoided all mention of it for five days. As each day passed, her silence seemed even more inexplicable. She completely ignored the event, behaving as if it hadn’t happened. Her silence on the subject was, to use a literary cliché, deafening. (more…)