Rouvier Poll Puts Cristina’s Approval Rating At 54%
A new poll published Thursday put President Cristina Fernández’s approval rating at 53.6%. That’s much higher than a survey published Wednesday that put the figure at just 29%.
The new survey, carried out by Ricardo Rouvier & Asociados, the president’s approval rating up 15 points since July, when a bitter conflict with farmers hurt the her ratings.
The poll was conducted on 1,200 people and has a margin of error of 2.8%. The difference between the two results is too big to be reasonable. One shows the president with less than a third of the country backing her; the other with a majority behind her.
Something is obviously amuck. Either Wednesday’s poll, carried out by Polarquía Consultores, or today’s poll is inaccurate. (Alternatively, both could be inaccurate.) But both polls cannot logically be within their margins of error and both be true. So which is right?
Honestly, I’m not sure, and I’m no statistical wizard like Nate Silver. Polarquía has an excellent reputation among academics and my hunch is that it’s a more reliable survey, but I couldn’t back that up with statistical evidence of my own. I have interviewed both Rouvier and analysts from Polarquía. But I haven’t had a chance to ask either firm about these polls. I will do so, however, and post the results at a later date.
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53.6%? Rouvier, stop drinking!
have a look at their websites, compare their analysts CVs and you’ll end up seeing that POLIARQUIA is the prestigious and serious one… 53.6% is just bluffing.
Consulting at my kitchen cabinet sink level while cleanning green beans , my delusional thinking was clear enough to let me know the real true about the reading of Indec: Once she starts putting the same dress on twice we’ll know we are in real deep waters.
dragno
The 53.6% ranking was only among her direct family members.